Greenville Homes Priced Under $150,000 Not Classified As Buyer's Market
We hear Greenville, SC real estate markets referred to as "buyer markets" or "seller markets" but what makes a market good for buyers or good for sellers. The National Association of Realtors® classifies markets based on absorption rates and inventory as follows:
0-5 months = Sellers Market, 5-7 months = Even/Split Market, 7+ months = Buyer’s Market
So what is an absorption rate and what does the 0-5, 5-7, and 7+ months mean? The number of months represents the number of months of inventory on the market. The number of months of inventory is determined by the absorption rate. The absorption rate is determined by taking the number of sold listings for any criteria (price range, city, subdivision, or a mixture) and dividing it by the amount of months (12 for a year or 9 for January to September). You can find the amount of inventory then by dividing the absorption rate number by the amount of active listings.
For instance, lets say that it is August in a local Greenville subdivision and it has 4 homes on the market and 16 have sold since January. This makes an average of 2 homes selling every month and means that there is a 2 month supply in the subdivision. When looking at absorption rates for the entire Greenville area as a whole, it reveals some interesting facts when keeping the definition of a buyer's and seller's market in mind.
Here are some recent Greenville Area real estate statistics:
•Listing Price: $0 - $150K
–Active Listings: 2639
–Sold Listings: 3083
–3083 / 8 mths = 385/mth (Absorption Rate)
–2639 / 385 = 6.85 (Months of Inventory)
–Avg DOM: 83
•$150K - $300K
–Active Listings: 2732
–Sold Listings: 2399
–2399 / 8 = 300/mth (Absorption Rate)
–2732 / 300 = 9.11 (Months of Inventory)
–Sold DOM: 95
•$300K - $500K
–Active Listings: 1123
–Sold Listings: 565
–565 / 8 = 71/mth (Absorption Rate)
–1123 / 71 = 15.82 (Months of Inventory)
Sold DOM: 110
•$500K - $1Million
–Active Listings: 638
–Sold Listings: 174
–174 / 8 = 21.5/mth (Absorption Rate)
–638 / 21.5 = 29.67 (Months of Inventory)
–Sold DOM: 125
•$1Million +
–Active Listings: 144
–Active Solds: 14
–14 / 8 = 1.75/mth (Absorption Rate)
–144 / 1.75 = 82.3 (Months of Inventory)
Sold DOM: 109
These statistics show that Greenville is in a buyer's market in every category except one. The homes priced at $150,000 and below are not in a buyer's market. According the the NAR's® definitions of markets, that price range is an "even/split market." What does this mean? Seller's under $150,000's can expect a better market than those with higher prices and buyers cannot expect the luxury of a buyer's market under $150,000. Seller's under the $150,000's still have to keep things in perspective though since they are not in a seller's market either.
Good Market? Bad Market? Keeping Things in Perspective
When you look at the numbers for the Greenville, SC Real Estate market you could make a case that the market is good or that the market is bad. It's all in how you spin it. There have been almost 20% less homes sell so far this year when compared to 2006. At the same time, there have been almost 4% more homes sell this year compared to 2004. The market must be kept in perspective to fully understand everything that is happening. The amount of Greenville area homes sold in 2006 and 2007 was very high compared to 2000 through 2005. 2008 has been one of the best years in this decade for amount of homes sold but it just does not compare to the peak of 2006 and 2007. Couple that with the fact that prices are still rising in Greenville and things don't look so bad. It is a buyer's market and there are a good amount of homes available, however, the market is stable and growing when keeping things in perspective. As the media would have you think that we haven't seen hard times like this since The Great Depression, the cold hard facts tell me that I would rather be in real estate in 2008 then 2004 or 1999 or the 1980's or any time before that.
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